Abstract

probabilistic approach has been proposed in this article. The Bayes theorem is at the base of this approach. The problem is essentially decision-making, something that is practiced almost all the time in the logistics business. To do this, a graphic model was initially built for the analysis of road risks that can influence the logistics. Then, using influence diagrams, a solution was found to a problem of road unavailability. Something which influences the delivery of the goods to their destination. A practical validation of the proposed approach through a real example was presented at the end of the document. The results found and the analysis conducted by this paper showed that the probabilistic graphical tool presented deserves more development and more exploitation in the field of supply chain management and the control of risks related to logistics.

Information

Item Type:	Conference
Divisions:	» Faculty of Science and Technology
ePrint ID:	1634
Date Deposited:	2019-01-09
Further Information:	Google Scholar
URI:	https://www.univ-soukahras.dz/en/publication/article/1634

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